000 01914pab a2200205 454500
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040 _cWelingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai
_aWelingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai
041 _aENG
082 _a
_bKiy
100 _aKiymaz Halil
245 _aStock Market Volatility and Trading Volume : An Emerging Market Experience
250 _a6
260 _a
_bJun 2009
_c0
300 _a5-32 Pp.
490 _v15
520 _aThis study investigates the relationship between daily returns and trading volume for 30 stocks included in the Istanbul Stock Exchange National-30 index. Study findings reveal that GARCH model is an appropriate model to mimic the conditionality of the second moments. The study finds that the persistency of conditional volatility is high and very close to unity, implying that current information can be used to predict future volatility. It also finds no leverage effect contradicting other studies reporting leverage effect. Speculative bubbles resulting from economic factors not justifying the rise in the market may cause these results. When trading volume is included in the analysis, the study finds that even though the persistence of the conditional volatility is present, it is lower with the introduction of volume. Finally, the decomposition of volume into expected and unexpected components shows that the expected component of volume significantly explains the variation in volatility. A vast majority of firms exhibit a decline in their volatility persistence. This result suggests that surprises in trading volume do not convey all the information associated with trading volume and that most information release is predictable.
650 _aStock Market, Emerging Market
856 _uhttp://192.168.6.13/libsuite/mm_files/Articles/AR10665.pdf
906 _a31983
999 _c30488
_d30488